(originally published on Medium in September 2017. To my knowledge, there have been no predictions from Lord Adonis on upcoming elections *before the result is announced* since this “its that simple” theory was first published. If readers know of any, let me know and I will post them here as an update)
Lord Adonis recently advanced a theory of national elections: “ The best leader wins and nothing else matters. It’s that simple.” (article here: https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/forget-ideas-do-the-maths-and-its-clear-political-leadership-always-comes-down-to-character)
This page will record the predictions made by Lord Adonis about upcoming elections on the basis of this theory and the date they are made.
Predictions: