3 Comments

Excellent analysis, thank you. So glad summer has finally arrived. By the time 'normal' people pay attention to politics again (conference season) we'll be less than 3 months from the real General Election campaign and Sunak's snarky concession speech on Election night. Can't wait.

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Thanks for your hard work--you've summed up the situation perfectly. The analysis also speaks to the NEV/NPS vs MRP debate. To the extent that the coming election sees proportional as opposed to uniform swings, MRP is a better indicator. Some of your colleagues may do well to reconsider their expressed views on the relative utility of NEV/NPS in predicting the outcome of this particular election.

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Thanks for very well pitched and interesting analysis. Just right for me!

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