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Thanks for this. There's nothing thing better than graphs. In my opinion Sunak made 2 massive mistakes.

1) He reinstated a sacked Braverman showing the far right that he was weak and

2) He bottled the Johnson censure vote in Parliament, showing everyone (Tory and non Tory) that he was again weak, but also, had no principles.

Like Corbyn,after Salisbury, he's only ever speaking to an ever dwindling pool of supporters and an even larger group of detractors in his own party. He never speaks to or for the wider electorate and he lies a lot. It's stupid to keep saying we're back on track, don't let Labour ruin it. This line was plausible in '97 and the Major Government still got hammered, it's totally implausible now because guess what Rishi, unlike you, some of us actually use and rely on public services and we know what your party has done to them since 2010.

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Would be good to get more thoughts on this statement, Rob: "Labour remain dominant, and on course for a crushing win." Are we talking about a majority of +100 seats here?

As the media scrutiny starts to ratchet up and the short campaign kicks-in, I wouldn't be surprised if Labour's poll ratings drop to the low 40s/high 30s (Starmer's indecisiveness + an untested team + more bad policy/PPC stories + failure to 'properly'/positively address the Big Three issues - economy, health/NHS and immigration).

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