The Swingometer

Sandbag to springboard: Explaining Reform's local elections breakthrough

When First Past the Post goes from foe to friend

Sep 23 • 

Rob Ford

18

6

July 2025

The British General Election of 2024

The book that has kept me busy (and quiet) is nearly here

Jul 29 • 

Rob Ford

15

5

May 2025

Local elections preview

Things to watch out for as a fragmented England votes

May 1 • 

Rob Ford

14

2

December 2024

Reviewing my 2024 predictions

The annual audit returns

Dec 18, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

19

2

Nic O Nas Bez Nas

Why settled migrants deserve voting rights

Dec 13, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

13

10

Electoral chaos theory 2: increased local choice and why it matters

More diverse choices on offer means more diverse choices made

Dec 4, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

14

5

November 2024

The Trump victory - a view from the frontline

A guest post from Ian Warren

Nov 6, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

20

6

A short honeymoon for Starmer?

Voters' love for new governments doesn't last

Nov 2, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

14

3

October 2024

Electoral chaos theory 1: from order to chaos

We're going to need a bigger swingometer

Oct 22, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

27

2

June 2024

The half time verdict

Three weeks down, three to go, what do the voters think?

Jun 12, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

37

1

May 2024

The general election in numbers

Some crunchy stats to kickstart your campaign

May 23, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

31

Analysing the May results 2: Winning where it matters, losing where it hurts

The return of three voting patterns that will worry Conservatives, and encourage Labour

May 20, 2024 • 

Rob Ford

24

3