Archive - The Swingometer

The half time verdict

Three weeks down, three to go, what do the voters think?

Jun 12 •

May 2024

The general election in numbers

Some crunchy stats to kickstart your campaign

May 23 •

Analysing the May results 2: Winning where it matters, losing where it hurts

The return of three voting patterns that will worry Conservatives, and encourage Labour

May 20 •

Analysing the May results 1: everything but the councils

Starmer breaks a Blair record in the by-election, big swings in the PCCs, and encouraging signs in the open seat Mayoral elections

May 13 •

Local elections: the Big Preview, part 3

A look at all 107 local councils!

May 1 •

Local elections: The Big Preview, part 2

Blackpool, Mayors and Police Commissioners

May 1 •

April 2024

Local elections: The Big Preview

Part 1: The lay of the land

Apr 30 •

Why is no one polling the West Midlands?

We know nothing about the biggest contest in next month's local elections

Apr 9 •

Could Sadiq Khan Lose in London?

His advisers say the race is closer than it looks. Do their claims stack up?

Apr 4 •

March 2024

The Rochdale by-election: Galloway does it again

Veteran firebrand completes his hat-trick of upsets over Labour in a contest defined by controversy

Mar 2 •

February 2024

"Things can only get better"

Two more stonking by-election wins for Starmer; ReformUK now a real threat

Feb 16 •

Labour and Muslim voters

A big drop in support will worry the party, but the electoral risks are limited

Feb 7 •

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